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- 🥊Iron Mike v. The Problem Child 🍼
🥊Iron Mike v. The Problem Child 🍼
The Netflix bout is expected to set records 💵💵
There is much to look forward to this time of year - from the packed schedule of meaningful games (including NFL, CFB, and CBB) to the upcoming holiday festivities (Don’t forget about Turkey Day 🦃, with all of that great food and football 🏈)! For the headlining sporting event this week, we look to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, but for a unique boxing matchup (and not for the Cowboys, which is good because those Cowboys are getting pretty hard to watch 😬). As you may have heard, Mike Tyson is coming out of retirement to take on Jake Paul, a (much younger) YouTube phenom and boxer! The fight is expected to pull in a record number of boxing-related bets 🤑, only increasing the excitement around the event (much to the benefit 💵 of Netflix, which is the platform streaming the match).
Aside from the Paul-Tyson match, there are a number of marque matchups across a number of sports this weekend, including Tennessee-Georgia (which is essentially a CFP elimination game) in CFB and Kansas City-Buffalo in the NFL. With so many good sporting events this weekend, the real question is: when will we have time to pick up all of the leaves 🍂 in our yard?! For those of you who want to wager on any of the contests this weekend, just remember - don’t gamble; bet bettr 😁😁
VALUE PICKS
💎 Find the hidden GEMS in the market 💎
We scour the marketplace to save you time and money! Several experts and platforms are aligned on the following opportunities for this weekend. Consider incorporating these insights into your betting gameplan for this weekend before the lines (i.e., prices) change!
Sport | Contest | Consensus Recommendation |
---|---|---|
CFB | Georgia v. Tennessee | Tennessee Spread |
CFB | BYU v. Kansas | BYU Moneyline or Spread |
CFB | Washington State v. New Mexico | Washington State Spread |
CFB | Clemson v. Pittsburgh | Clemson Moneyline |
NFL | Cleveland v. New Orleans | New Orleans Moneyline |
NFL | Kansas City v. Buffalo | Buffalo Moneyline |
NFL | San Francisco v. Seattle | San Francisco Moneyline |
For more daily Value Picks, join our Skool community! See the “Get Involved” section below!
ESPN ANALYTICS
The Worldwide Leader in Sports (Betting) 🤑
We crunched the numbers on ESPN Analytics’ forecasts for NFL Week 11 and wanted to flag the following +EV plays based on ESPN Analytics!
MIA v. LV - LV Spread - EV: 38%
DEN v. ATL - ATL Spread or Moneyline - EV: 25%
NYJ v. IND - IND Spread - EV: 7%
GB v. CHI - CHI Spread - EV: 9%
For more “ESPN +EV Picks” for the NFL, NBA and CFB, join our Skool community! See the “Get Involved” section below!
NEWS
📰 Stay Informed 📰
Like in traditional investing, dumb money often loses out to informed and strategic decision-making. Make sure you stay up-to-date on the latest news and insights that may impact your analysis! Click on the below links for some of the most relevant - and helpful - insights and analysis ahead of this weekend:
ICYMI: Check out ESPN’s analysis of betting the over/under for NHL games this season! Here is the most valuable snippet from the article:
“Looking at the data, a couple of trends emerge. First, betting the under on games with a 6.5 total yields a tiny net gain, so it's slightly profitable. The overs, however, on these 6.5 games have been less reliable, showing a pretty clear loss. When it comes to games with a 5.5 total, the over seems to have a better track record, with a modest but positive return. Betting the under on these 5.5 games, however, has not been worthwhile. This data suggests a strategy that might involve focusing on unders for higher 6.5 totals and overs for lower 5.5 totals - at least with the patterns we've seen so far this season.”
PERFORMANCE-ENHANCING PLATFORMS
💪 Improve Your Betting Game 💪
For this week, we highlight our friends at RotoWire! As the fantasy sports industry’s leader in player news and analysis for over 25 years, RotoWire is uniquely skilled in projecting player statistics. In fact, this platform has been one of the top-performing platforms (across ALL platforms, not just those with prop recommendations) that we have tracked as a part of our BettrPlatforms effort. With RotoWire, spend less time researching and more time winning on sites like PrizePicks, Pick6 and Underdog.
RotoWire is offering our members a FREE TWO-DAY TRIAL to test out their leading prop-pick recommendation platform. Use this link to access the trial now (with no credit card required): Rotowire.com/bettrnation
TRIVIA
🤔 Does Age Matter? (Don’t) Bet On It.
Given the age discrepancy between Mike Tyson (58) and Jake Paul (27), many commentators are questioning whether the fight between those two fighters should even happen. Notwithstanding this age difference, Tyson does appear to be drawing the vast majority of bets for this match. Per ESPN, the betting public is overwhelmingly siding with Mike Tyson in the fight, which bookmakers say is on pace to be the most heavily bet boxing match in years. The odds have been drifting toward Tyson this week, moving from +225 to +175 this week at ESPN BET, where Paul is listed as a -225 favorite. Although most of the “square” money has been bet on Tyson, most of the bigger bets have been placed on Jake Paul. Do you know approximately (i) what percentage of all bets on this fight have been on Mike Tyson to win and (ii) what percentage of the total handle (i.e., amount of money) has been bet on Tyson?
EDUCATION
💵 Beat the Books 💵
Nate Silver, the renowned author of The Signal and the Noise and the founder of FiveThirtyEight, recently released a new book called “On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything”, and he describes, among other things, how to be a successful sports bettor. He touches on some of those considerations in the below video! Be sure to check it out - and note that a lot of what he discusses is covered in our Training Camp!
GET INVOLVED
🫵 YOU can join the BettrNation Revolution
Go beyond “The Edge” and join our sports betting community to gain access to our industry-leading course, value picks, proprietary insights, and MUCH MORE!
You are invited to join our community for FREE for an entire year! Use the code “BetBettr24” at checkout to take advantage of this opportunity. Click here to sign up!
RESPONSIBLE BETTING
🧑⚕️Prioritize Your (Betting) Health
At BettrNation, we are serious about empowering you on your betting journey, which includes not just helping you identify valuable opportunities but also by helping you develop good (responsible) betting practices and serving as an accountability partner for you.
We encourage you to take this FREE assessment from our partner, Birches Health, which will help give you some tips on responsible betting behaviors and will help give you feedback on your betting journey/practices!
TRIVIA ANSWER
For the Paul-Tyson fight, the action is rather one-sided, with 58-year-old Tyson receiving a whopping 91.8% of the bets and 66.3% of the handle (money wagered)!